Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000124 0.000137 0.000151 0.000167 0.000184 0.000204 0.000226
2025-06-29 0.000097 0.000115 0.000135 0.000161 0.000193 0.000230 0.000278
2025-07-06 0.000079 0.000098 0.000122 0.000154 0.000195 0.000247 0.000319
2025-07-13 0.000070 0.000090 0.000117 0.000155 0.000205 0.000274 0.000373
2025-07-20 0.000063 0.000085 0.000114 0.000157 0.000217 0.000302 0.000433
2025-07-27 0.000057 0.000079 0.000110 0.000156 0.000224 0.000324 0.000485
2025-08-03 0.000053 0.000076 0.000108 0.000158 0.000235 0.000353 0.000551
2025-08-10 0.000048 0.000071 0.000103 0.000156 0.000239 0.000371 0.000602
2025-08-17 0.000045 0.000067 0.000100 0.000154 0.000244 0.000391 0.000657
2025-08-24 0.000041 0.000063 0.000096 0.000151 0.000246 0.000405 0.000705
2025-08-31 0.000038 0.000058 0.000091 0.000147 0.000244 0.000413 0.000743
2025-09-07 0.000035 0.000056 0.000089 0.000147 0.000251 0.000436 0.000810
2025-09-14 0.000034 0.000054 0.000088 0.000149 0.000261 0.000469 0.000903
2025-09-21 0.000031 0.000051 0.000084 0.000146 0.000262 0.000484 0.000965
2025-09-28 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000140 0.000257 0.000487 0.001001
2025-10-05 0.000027 0.000045 0.000077 0.000140 0.000265 0.000515 0.001098
2025-10-12 0.000026 0.000044 0.000077 0.000142 0.000275 0.000552 0.001218
2025-10-19 0.000024 0.000042 0.000075 0.000141 0.000280 0.000576 0.001313
2025-10-26 0.000023 0.000041 0.000074 0.000143 0.000291 0.000615 0.001452
2025-11-02 0.000022 0.000039 0.000072 0.000141 0.000293 0.000635 0.001546
2025-11-09 0.000021 0.000038 0.000070 0.000140 0.000296 0.000658 0.001652
2025-11-16 0.000019 0.000036 0.000068 0.000137 0.000296 0.000673 0.001739
2025-11-23 0.000018 0.000034 0.000065 0.000133 0.000293 0.000678 0.001799